Tag Archives: 2019 Global Health Security Index

Does predicting the future have a future?

Posted on May 26, 2021 by Eugene Ivanov

A popular joke attributed to a bunch of historical figures says: “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.” How true. Writing for the WIRED magazine, Paul Ford described his recent experience of reading The Book of Prediction, … Continue reading →

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U.S. innovation: a perennial half-full/half-empty glass

Posted on December 28, 2020 by Eugene Ivanov

In my previous post, I argued that a wide-spread belief that we are swimming in an ocean of cheap innovative ideas – solidified in a popular slogan “ideas are a dime a dozen” — is no more than a myth. … Continue reading →

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The Fallacy of Predictions

Posted on April 26, 2020 by Eugene Ivanov

There is a popular joke (attributed to Niels Bohr): “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.” I remembered it when I picked up the March-April 2020 issue of the MIT Technology Review. Subtitled “The prediction issue,” it … Continue reading →

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